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Apr 2024

INTRODUCTION We see an extended runway for economic growth now that inflation has been tamed. While central banks may not have reached...

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Mar 2024

US rates grinded higher at the beginning of 2024 as the economy continued to prove resilient. Stronger-than-expected economic data, plus a...

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Jan 2024

INTRODUCTION As inflation continues to trend lower, most central banks appear to be done hiking interest rates. The European Central Bank...

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Dec 2023

We are past peak inflation in major economies like the US and Europe, but questions remain regarding the speed of deceleration in inflation...

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Dec 2023

Looking for signs International airports often have curbside signs that say “look right” or “look left” (i.e., cars drive on this...

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Nov 2023

Throughout history, technology has propelled business innovation and advancement. As active equity managers with an eye toward long-term...

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Oct 2023

INTRODUCTION We believe the US economy is late in the credit cycle as US Treasury bond yields move to highs not seen since 2007. Mortgage...

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Sep 2023

Peak inflation appears to be in the past for major economies like the US and Europe, but questions remain regarding the speed of...

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Jul 2023

INTRODUCTION The journey toward a downturn phase in the credit cycle is typically more like a brisk walk than a sprint. We do not see...

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Jun 2023

Consensus global growth forecasts have improved slightly since last month as economies continue to look somewhat resilient relative to...

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